Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.870474 1.055101 1.249992 1.469391 1.707957 1.958121 2.238928
2025-02-09 0.668713 0.935362 1.236350 1.593941 2.000730 2.443546 2.956830
2025-02-16 0.541112 0.845413 1.206151 1.650460 2.170335 2.748857 3.431656
2025-02-23 0.428225 0.752893 1.157435 1.672973 2.291617 2.993228 3.833866
2025-03-02 0.307511 0.627255 1.049981 1.609291 2.298390 3.094939 4.063450
2025-03-09 0.210031 0.513620 0.943026 1.533887 2.281078 3.160566 4.244548
2025-03-16 0.146224 0.434918 0.871727 1.494671 2.300404 3.263270 4.463230
2025-03-23 0.113674 0.399640 0.856061 1.524275 2.402358 3.462597 4.793753
2025-03-30 0.082006 0.356854 0.824064 1.528042 2.468737 3.616776 5.069091
2025-04-06 0.052064 0.305906 0.773274 1.501441 2.492780 3.716764 5.277709
2025-04-13 0.041586 0.295588 0.785142 1.561560 2.628777 3.954183 5.651281
2025-04-20 0.033305 0.287686 0.799633 1.624640 2.768237 4.195737 6.029896
2025-04-27 0.028494 0.290257 0.835249 1.724111 2.963903 4.517232 6.518086
2025-05-04 0.025789 0.299034 0.882375 1.841978 3.186321 4.875024 7.054066
2025-05-11 0.019035 0.289583 0.895764 1.908899 3.339621 5.145292 7.482608
2025-05-18 0.010719 0.265524 0.880245 1.931299 3.432242 5.338852 7.817486
2025-05-25 0.002064 0.214598 0.807662 1.863085 3.398999 5.371094 7.953006
2025-06-01 NaN 0.166063 0.730067 1.781240 3.342924 5.371198 8.046391
2025-06-08 NaN 0.134295 0.680222 1.738789 3.338119 5.434237 8.214963
2025-06-15 NaN 0.123825 0.676742 1.770866 3.437732 5.632048 8.551181
2025-06-22 NaN 0.107916 0.657246 1.774956 3.496735 5.776563 8.820532
2025-06-29 NaN 0.086892 0.619668 1.746114 3.507056 5.856503 9.008244
2025-07-06 NaN 0.086025 0.636739 1.811268 3.653335 6.115081 9.420837